FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM

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LOUIS BACHELIER

Climate Risk
& Green Transition

15th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM

Paris, March 21 & 22, 2022

The Institut Louis Bachelier, in cooperation with the Fondation du Risque, the Europlace Institute of Finance and the Louis Bachelier "Finance and Sustainable Growth" Laboratory, is pleased to invite you to the 15th Financial Risks International Forum.

This year’s forum will focus on the theme:

“Climate Risk and Green Transition”

Climate change is one of the key challenges of our time. Addressing climate change and transitioning the world’s economy to a low-carbon path will require support from the financial sector through energy and infrastructure investments, the creation of new financial products and insurance solutions. It will also require the development of new models to assess the interactions between climate and the economy, the measurement of climate physical / transition risk and its incorporation into asset prices, the assessment of investors’ attitudes and beliefs towards these risks. Finally, financial institutions are interconnected, and climate change is posing a serious threat to financial stability. Central banks and regulators are requesting financial institutions to disclose their climate risk exposure and have started to design scenarios for climate stress tests.

This upcoming 15th Financial Risks International Forum aims to highlight the methodological and regulatory challenges raised by the ongoing developments in financial technologies.

Our academic Guest Speakers for the 2022 edition are:
• Stefano GIGLIO, Professor of Finance at Yale School of Management
• Irene MONASTEROLO, Professor of Climate Finance at EDHEC Business School and EDHEC-Risk Institute
• Lucian TAYLOR, Professor of Finance, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

ORGANISED BY:

MEDIA PARTNERS:

SPONSORS:

PRACTICAL INFORMATION

CHAMBRE DE COMMERCE ET D'INDUSTRIE DE REGION PARIS ILE-DE-FRANCE

27, avenue de Friedland, 75008 PARIS, FRANCE

Download the booklet

March 21, 2022
March 22, 2022
Poster session

"Climate Risk & Green Transition"

8:30 - 9:00: Registration and Welcome Coffee

9:00 - 9:30

Guest speech session - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Jean BOISSINOT, Deputy Director, Financial Stability, Banque de France, Head of Secretariat, NGFS.
Guest speech: Irene MONASTEROLO, Professor of Climate Finance, EDHEC Business School and EDHEC-Risk Institute.
”Cascading Climate Financial Risks” Paper See the interview

9:30 - 10:15

Roundtable II: THE FUTURE OF FUTURES: DESIGNING AND USING CLIMATE MACRO-FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
- SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Laurent CLERC, Director for Research and Risk Analysis, Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution (ACPR).
Jean BOISSINOT, Deputy Director, Financial Stability, Banque de France, Head of Secretariat, NGFS,
Marc IRUBETAGOYENA, Head of Group Stress Testing and Financial Synthesis, BNP Paribas, Slides
Christopher KOK, Head of Stress Test Experts Division, European Central Bank. Slides
Irene MONASTEROLO, Professor of Climate Finance, EDHEC Business School and EDHEC-Risk Institute.

10:15 - 10:40

Guest speech session - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Guest speech: Stanislas POTTIER, Senior Advisor to the General Management of Amundi.
"How Paris Financial Center Can Coordinate on Climate Action" See the interview

10:40 - 11:00

IEF/SCOR Award Ceremony - SALLE DES LUSTRES

IEF/Foundation SCOR pour la Science Award: Best Young Researcher in Finance and Insurance
Award Hosts: Zeying PEUILLET, General Secretary of Fondation SCOR pour la Science and Didier VALET, Chairman, Institute Europlace de Finance and Vice-President, Institut Louis Bachelier.
Award Winner: Jean-Édouard COLLIARD, Associate Professor of Finance at HEC Paris. See the interview

REPLAY - Guest Speech Sessions, Roundtable II & IEF/SCOR Award Ceremony

11:00 - 11:15 : Coffee break

11:15 - 12:45
Parallel Sessions C

Parallel Session C7 - LONG-RUN RISKS, SPILLOVER AND DEPENDENCE - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Romeo TEDONGAP, ESSEC.

-"Long-Run Risk in Stationary Structural Vector Autoregressive Models" Paper Slides
Christian GOURIEROUX, Toronto University, Toulouse School of Economics, CREST, and Joann JASIAK, York University.
- "Required Capital for Long-Run Risks" Paper
Alain MONFORT, CREST, Christian GOURIÉROUX, Toronto University, Toulouse School of Economics, CREST, and Jean-Paul RENNE, University of Lausanne.
Discussant: Eric VANSTEENBERGHE, ACPR. Slides Slides
- "Climate-related Risk Premium and Spillovers"
Thomas GIROUX and Julien ROYER, CREST, MIROVA and Institut Polytechnique de Paris.
Discussant: Ban ZHENG, HSBC Asset Management.

Parallel Session C8 - PHYSICAL RISKS, CARBON MARKETS & BIODIVERSITY – SALLE DES SEANCES

Chairman: Christian ROBERT, CREST.

- “Impacts of Extreme Weather Events on Mortgage Risks and their Evolution Under Climate Change” Paper
Antoine MANDEL, University Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, Climate Finance Alpha, Raffaella CALABRESE, Credit Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Timothy DOMBROWSKI, University of Missouri-St. Louis, Kelley PACE, Louisiana State University, and Luca ZANIN, Prometeia.
- “A “Silent Spring” for the Financial System? Exploring Biodiversity-Related Financial Risks in France” Paper
Mathilde SALIN, Banque de France, CIRED, AgroParisTech, and Paul HADJI-LAZARO, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Romain SVARTZMAN and Thomas ALLEN, Banque de France, Etienne ESPAGNE, Julien CALAS and Antoine GODIN, Agence Française de Développement (AFD), Julien GAUTHEY, Office Français de la Biodiversité (OFB), Joshua BERGER and Antoine VALLIER, CDC Biodiversité.
Discussant: Alicia BASSIERE, CREST. Slides
- "Dependence Structure Among Carbon Markets Around the World: New Evidence from GARCH-Copula Analysis" Paper
Karishma ANSARAM and Paolo MAZZAB, IESEG School of Management.
Discussant: Jean-David FERMANIAN, CREST. Slides
- VIDEO PRESENTATION: “Sea Level Rise Risk and Mortgage Lending Standards” Paper See the video
Qiping HUANG, University of Dayton, Chengbo FU, School of Business, University of Northern British Columbia, Meimei LIN, Georgia Southern University, Salman TAHSIN, San José State University.

Parallel Session C9 - SENTIMENT AND PREFERENCES – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

Chairman: Sébastien POUGET, TSE.

- “Green Sentiment, Stock Returns and Corporate Behavior” Paper Slides
Stefano RAMELLI, University of Zurich, and Marie BRIÈRE, Head of Investor Research Center, Amundi.
- “Dynamic ESG Equilibrium” Paper
Andrea TARELLI, Catholic University of Milan, Doron AVRAMOV, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC), Abraham LIOUI, EDHEC Business School, and Yang LIU, The University of Hong Kong.
Discussant: Paul KAREHNKE, ESCP Business School.
- “Are We Becoming Greener? Life-Time Experiences and Responsible Investment” Paper
Milo BIANCHI, Toulouse School of Economics, Zhengkai LIU, Fudan University, and Gang WANG, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics.
Discussant: Hector CALVO-PARDO, University of Southampton.
- VIDEO PRESENTATION: “International Political Uncertainty and Climate Risk Premium” Paper See the video
Qiping HUANG, University of Dayton, Meimei LIN, Georgia Southern University, Xu GONG, Xiamen University and Chengbo Fub, University of Northern British Columbia.

12:45 - 14:15: Buffet lunch

14:15 - 14:45

Guest speech session - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Christian GOLLIER, TSE.
Guest speech: Lucian TAYLOR, Professor of Finance, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Paper
“Dissecting Green Returns”

14:45 - 15:30

Roundtable III: STEERING THE GREENING OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS' BALANCE SHEET - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Michel CROUHY, Senior Consultant, NATIXIS.
Orith AZOULAY, Global Head of Green and Sustainable Finance, NATIXIS,
Erick DECKER, Head of Responsible Investment, AXA,
Nicolas DE JENLIS, Partner, Sustainable Finance Practice, Deloitte,
Louis DOUADY, Global Head of Environmental and Social Responsibility, NATIXIS.

REPLAY - Guest Speech Session & Roundtable III

15:30 - 15:40: Break

15:40 - 16:40

Parallel Sessions D

Parallel Session D10 - CLIMATE FOOTPRINT OF BITCOIN - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Catherine CASAMATTA, TSE.
- “Machine Learning the Carbon Footprint of Bitcoin Mining” Paper Slides
Hector CALVO-PARDO, University of Southampton, CFS, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Tullio MANCINI, Amazon, and Jose OLMO, University of Southampton and Centro ARACID, University of Zaragoza.
- “Energy Consumption of the Bitcoin Industry” Paper Slides
Louis BERTUCCI, Institut Louis Bachelier, Charles BERTUCCI, Ecole Polytechnique, Institut Louis Bachelier, Jean-Michel LASRY, Université Paris-Dauphine, and Pierre-Louis LIONS, Collège de France.
Discussant: Christophe BISIÈRE, TSE-TSM.

Parallel Session D11 - PORTFOLIO WITH CLIMATE RISK MEASURES – SALLE DES SEANCES

Chairman: Emmanuel JURCZENKO, EDHEC.

- “Building Benchmarks Portfolios with Decreasing Carbon Footprints” Paper
Benoît MOJON and Luiz Awazu PEREIRA DA SILVA, Bank for International Settlements, Eric JONDEAU, University of Lausanne, HEC Lausanne, Swiss Finance Institute.
- “Portfolio Construction with Climate Risk Measures" Paper Slides
Thierry RONCALLI, Amundi Asset Management and Théo LE GUENEDAL, Amundi Asset Management, CREST.
Discussant: Guillaume COQUERET, EMLYON Business School. Slides

Parallel Session D12 - TEXTUAL ANALYSIS AND MACHINE LEARNING – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

Chairman: Frédéric ABERGEL, CentraleSupélec.

- “Tradable Analytics - Trading ESG” Paper Slides
Michel CROUHY, NATIXIS, Dan GALAI, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Aner RAVON, Zirra, and Zvi WIENER, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
- “Statistical Learning Methods for Predicting Corporate Carbon Emissions” Paper
Thibaut HEURTEBIZE, Raul LEOTE DE CARVALHO and François SOUPÉ, BNP Paribas Asset Management.
Discussant: Julien FOUQUAU, ESCP.
- VIDEO PRESENTATION: "Dissecting Climate Risks: Are they Reflected in Stock Prices?" Paper Slides See the video
George SKIADOPOULOS, Queen Mary University of London, and University of Piraeus, Renato FACCINI, Danmarks Nationalbank, Centre for Macroeconomics (LSE) and Rastin MATIN, Danmarks Nationalbank.

16:40 - 17:40

Roundtable IV: FINANCE AND INSURANCE RELOADED (FaIR) - THE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF BITCOIN MINING: TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE INDUSTRY? - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Louis BERTUCCI, Scientific Coordinator, Finance and Insurance Reloaded (FaIR) Programme, Institut Louis Bachelier. See the interview
Hector CALVO-PARDO, Economist, Economics Department, FSS, University of Southampton,
Jad COMAIR, CEO, Melanion Capital,
Pierre NOIZAT, CEO, Paymium.

REPLAY - Roundtable IV

17:40 - 18:30: Networking cocktail

18:30

End of the Risks Forum
All hours are indicated in Paris local time.
The video paper presentations are pre-recorded and made available before the sessions.

"Climate Risk & Green Transition"

13:00 - 13:30: Registration

13:30 - 13:45

Welcome Address - SALLE DES LUSTRES

by Jean-Michel BEACCO, CEO, Institut Louis Bachelier (ILB),
and Marie BRIÈRE, Chairwoman of the Scientific Committee, Financial Risks International Forum. See the interview

13:45 - 14:15

Guest speech session - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Christian GOURIEROUX, Toronto University, Toulouse School of Economics, CREST.
Guest speech: Stefano GIGLIO, Professor of Finance, Yale School of Management.
“A Quantity-Based Approach to Constructing Climate Risk Hedge Portfolios” Paper Slides See the interview

14:15 - 15:00

Roundtable I: DATA GAPS AND NEEDS FOR SUSTAINABLE FINANCE RESEARCH - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Peter TANKOV, CREST, ENSAE, IP Paris, and Green and Sustainable Finance (GSF) Programme, Institut Louis Bachelier. See the interview
Thibaud BARREAU, Data Scientist, ILB DataLab / PLADIFES project, Slides
Stéphane VOISIN, Head of the Green and Sustainable Finance (GSF) Programme, ILB,
Stefano GIGLIO, Professor of Finance, Yale School of Management, Slides
Léa GRISEY, Green Finance Expert, Banque de France / NGFS,
Jocelyn MARTEL, Professor of Finance, ESSEC. Slides

REPLAY - Welcome Address, Guest Speech Session & Roundtable I

15:00 - 16:30

Parallel Sessions A

Parallel Session A1 - ESG AND MUTUAL FUNDS - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Serge DAROLLES, Université Paris-Dauphine, PSL Research University.

- “Quality and Product Differentiation: Theory and Evidence from the Mutual Fund Industry” Paper
Tianhao YAO, HEC Paris and Maxime BONELLI, HEC Paris.
Discussant: Tamara NEFEDOVA, Université Paris-Dauphine, PSL Research University.
- “Fund Portfolio Networks: a Climate Risk Perspective” Paper
Adrien AMZALLAG, European Securities and Markets Authority.
Discussant: Arthur STALLA-BOURDILLON, Banque de France.
- “How Different are ESG Mutual Funds? Evidence and Implications” Paper
Camille BAILY, CeReFiM, University of Namur and Jean-Yves GNABO, CeReFiM, naxYs, University of Namur.
Discussant: Marie LAMBERT, HEC Liège.

Parallel Session A2 - DISCLOSURE – SALLE DES SEANCES

Chairman: Patricia CRIFO, Ecole Polytechnique and CREST.

- “Showing off Cleaner Hands: Mandatory Climate-Related Disclosure by Financial Institutions and the Financing of Fossil Energy” Paper
Jean-Stéphane MÉSONNIER, Banque de France, Sciences Po, and Benoît NGUYEN, Banque de France.
- “Board Ancestral Diversity and Voluntary Greenhouse Gas Emission Disclosure” Paper
Johannes A. BARG, University of Hamburg, Wolfgang DROBETZ, University of Hamburg, Sadok EL GHOUL, University of Alberta, Omrane GUEDHAMI, University of South Carolina, and Henning SCHRÖDER, University of Hamburg.
Discussant: Fabiola SCHNEIDER, UCD Michael Smurfit Graduate Business School.
- “ESG Features Explain One Bit of Idiosyncratic Price Returns” Paper Slides
Damien CHALLET, FiQuant Group, CentraleSupélec, Paris-Saclay University, Jérémi ASSAEL, FiQuant Group, CentraleSupélec, Paris-Saclay University, BNP Paribas, and Laurent CARLIER, Head of the AI Lab, BNP Paribas.
Discussant: Caterina SANTI, HEC Liège. Slides
- VIDEO PRESENTATION: “Does Media Coverage of Firms’ Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) Incidents Affect Analyst Coverage and Forecasts?”
April Zhichao LI and Dr. Guanming He, Durham University. Paper

Parallel Session A3 - CLIMATE STRESS TESTS – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

Chairman: Jean-Paul LAURENT, University Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne.

- “Cascading Effects of Carbon Price through the Value Chain: Impact on Firm's Valuation” Paper Slides
Théo LE GUENEDAL, Amundi Asset Management, CREST, Theophile ADENOT, Marie BRIÈRE, Pierre COUNATHE, Mathieu JOUANNEAU and Tegwen LE BERTHE, Amundi Asset Management.
- “The Climate Extended Risk Model (CERM)” Paper Slides
Josselin GARNIER, Ecole Polytechnique, Lusenn, Jean-Baptiste GAUDEMET, Green RWA, and Anne GRUZ, IGGAAK.
Discussant: Maria FLORA, CREST.
- “The Impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-Switching Panel Approach” Paper
Ayokunle OSUNTUYI, Monica BILLIO, Roberto CASARIN, University Ca’ Foscari of Venice, Enrica DE CIAN and Malcolm MISTRY, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC).
Discussant: Fulvio PEGORARO, ACPR.

16:30 - 17:00: Coffee break - Poster Session - GRANDE SALLE A MANGER

17:00 - 18:30

Parallel Sessions B

Parallel Session B4 - FUNDING OF ENERGY TRANSITION - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Chairman: Eric BOUYÉ, World Bank.

- “Optimal Ecological Transition Path of a Credit Portfolio Distribution, Based on Multidate Monge-Kantorovich Formulation” Paper
Clara LAGE and Emmanuel GOBET, École Polytechnique.
- “Green Investment and Asset Stranding Under Transition Scenario Uncertainty” Paper Slides
Maria FLORA, CREST, CNRS, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, and Peter TANKOV, CREST.
Discussant: Fanny CARTELLIER, CREST. Slides
- “Climate Consequences of Rebalancing Official Climate Finance: Analyzing Multilateral Development Banks’ Allocation Practices” Paper Slides
Lina XIE and Swarnodeep HOMROY, University of Groningen, Bert SCHOLTENS, University of Groningen, University of St Andrews.
Discussant: Anna CRETI, Université Paris-Dauphine.

Parallel Session B5 - BOND RISK – SALLE DES SEANCES

Chairman: Jean Michel ZAKOIAN, CREST.

- "Pricing Climate Change Risk Corporate Bonds" Paper
Elsa ALLMAN, Banque de France, Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution (ACPR).
- "ESG and Sovereign Risk: What is Priced in by the Bond Market and Credit Rating Agencies?" Paper
Raphaël SEMET, Thierry RONCALLI and Lauren STAGNOL, Amundi Asset Management.
Discussant: Thomas GIROUX, CREST. Slides
- “Do Investors Reward Countries for Participating in Climate Agreements?”
Mandeep SINGH, Centre for Climate Finance and Investment (CCFI), Imperial College Business School, and Konark SAXENA, University of New South Wales.
Discussant: Vincent BOUCHET, École Polytechnique.

Parallel Session B6 - AUCTIONS AND CONTRACTS – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

Chairman: Jocelyn MARTEL, ESSEC.

- “Auctions for New and Undiversifiable Risks” Paper
Catherine BOBTCHEFF, Paris School of Economics, CNRS, David ALARY, Toulouse School of Economics, and Carole HARITCHABALET, Université de Pau et des Pays de l’Adour, Toulouse School of Economics.
- “Pitfalls of Insuring Production Risk: A Case Study on Some Wind Power Auctions in France” Paper Slides
Laurent LAMY and Clément LEBLANC, Ecole des Ponts, ParisTech.
Discussant: Stephane LOISEL, ISFA.
- “Climate Linkers: Rationale and Pricing” Paper
Jean-Paul RENNE and Pauline Chikhani, University of Lausanne.
Discussant: Julien ROYER, CREST.

18:30

End of the Day
All hours are indicated in Paris local time.
The video paper presentations are pre-recorded and made available before the sessions.

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DECIDEURS MAGAZINE

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Fait avec ❤ par Accelerator Team

Climate Risk
& Green Transition

15th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM

PRACTICAL INFORMATION

Services
What We Can Do For You

Save Time

Friendly Support

Customization

Grow Your Business

"Climate Risk & Green Transition"

8:30 - 9:00: Registration and Welcome Coffee

9:00 - 9:30

9:30 - 10:15

10:15 - 10:40

10:40 - 11:00

11:00 - 11:15 : Coffee break

12:45 - 14:15: Buffet lunch

14:15 - 14:45

14:45 - 15:30

15:30 - 15:40: Break

15:40 - 16:40

16:40 - 17:40

17:40 - 18:30: Networking cocktail

18:30

Welcome Address - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Guest speech session - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Roundtable I: DATA GAPS AND NEEDS FOR SUSTAINABLE FINANCE RESEARCH - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Parallel Sessions A

Parallel Session A1 - ESG AND MUTUAL FUNDS - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Parallel Session A2 - DISCLOSURE – SALLE DES SEANCES

Parallel Session A3 - CLIMATE STRESS TESTS – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

16:30 - 17:00: Coffee break - Poster Session - GRANDE SALLE A MANGER

Parallel Sessions B

Parallel Session B4 - FUNDING OF ENERGY TRANSITION - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Parallel Session B5 - BOND RISK – SALLE DES SEANCES

Parallel Session B6 - AUCTIONS AND CONTRACTS – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

End of the Day
All hours are indicated in Paris local time.
The video paper presentations are pre-recorded and made available before the sessions.

ABOUT THE ORGANISATION

ESTABLISHMENTS

17th Financial Risks INTERNATIONAL FORUM

Climate Risk & Green Transition

15th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM

PRACTICAL INFORMATION

Services What We Can Do For You

Save Time

Friendly Support

Customization

Grow Your Business

"Climate Risk & Green Transition"

8:30 - 9:00: Registration and Welcome Coffee

9:00 - 9:30

9:30 - 10:15

10:15 - 10:40

10:40 - 11:00

11:00 - 11:15 : Coffee break

12:45 - 14:15: Buffet lunch

14:15 - 14:45

14:45 - 15:30

15:30 - 15:40: Break

15:40 - 16:40

16:40 - 17:40

17:40 - 18:30: Networking cocktail

18:30

Welcome Address - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Guest speech session - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Roundtable I: DATA GAPS AND NEEDS FOR SUSTAINABLE FINANCE RESEARCH - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Parallel Sessions A

Parallel Session A1 - ESG AND MUTUAL FUNDS - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Parallel Session A2 - DISCLOSURE – SALLE DES SEANCES

Parallel Session A3 - CLIMATE STRESS TESTS – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

16:30 - 17:00: Coffee break - Poster Session - GRANDE SALLE A MANGER

Parallel Sessions B

Parallel Session B4 - FUNDING OF ENERGY TRANSITION - SALLE DES LUSTRES

Parallel Session B5 - BOND RISK – SALLE DES SEANCES

Parallel Session B6 - AUCTIONS AND CONTRACTS – AUDITORIUM HAUSSMANN

End of the Day All hours are indicated in Paris local time. The video paper presentations are pre-recorded and made available before the sessions.

ABOUT THE ORGANISATION

ESTABLISHMENTS

17th Financial Risks INTERNATIONAL FORUM

Climate Risk
& Green Transition

Services
What We Can Do For You

End of the Day
All hours are indicated in Paris local time.
The video paper presentations are pre-recorded and made available before the sessions.